Before I start I want to reaffirm what I wrote nearly a year ago about why putting our faith in one man to fix the country’s problems through the state is a historically proven path to disaster.
Now, having said that, time will tell what Donald Trump actually does. I’m still with Jack Donovan on this; I think most of his achievements will be purely symbolic.
However, merely by getting elected Trump did two very critical things.
One, he averted a possible war with Russia that Hillary was all but ready to initiate. It is very likely Russia would have invaded Ukraine within the month had she won. Can’t say whether I would have been drafted (I wouldn’t have fought) but the prospect did not settle well with me.
Two, Trump has averted a possible civil war. Don’t let the riots fool you; riots are the acts of a failed revolution. Revolutionaries don’t throw stones in the streets.
Had Hillary obtained the majority Electoral College vote along with the popular vote, we would have seen something akin to the Irish Troubles in which vigilant groups carry out acts of violence against their enemy. The rest of populace doesn’t participate directly; they voice their support on social media and turn a blind eye to suspicious activities they observe.
It fits well with Doug Casey’s explanation of why an actual war as properly understood is highly unlikely:
The electorate is too degraded to actually get off their couches to fight, apart from the fact few know how to use a gun any more. Besides, 25% of the US is on antidepressants or other psychoactive drugs; they’re too passive to want radical change. Almost half the country is on some form of the dole; they fear having their doggy dishes taken away. More than half the country is obese; fat people tend to avoid street fights. The median age in the US is 38; old people don’t usually get in fights. Anyway, everybody lives on their electronic devices, not the real world.
It’s why I’ve said before that many people would mistake this kind of low level conflict as something other than civil war.
The days of conventional armies and pitched battles are over. The next war will be fought online, with limited physical confrontations acting as manifestations of this heightened hostility.
Second, bear in mind that the Left actually practices what it preaches on private gun ownership; most of them, aside from the political elite, do not own any firearms. This is why they riot, rather than initiate conflicts. It is also why right wingers don’t riot. If they want to cause mayhem, they’ll go all the way and start a revolution.
There will never be a civil war or American Troubles as long as a Republican is president for the simple reason that the Left needs the military, National Guard, and law enforcement agencies to enforce its will against a rebellion, but the right does not need the state if it decided to fight. Leftist mobs stand no chance of ascending into power, but there are millions of armed citizens who have prepared for this very thing.
Which brings me to my next theory regarding Trump’s success. I have zero proof of this, which is why it’s a theory.
I wonder if elements of the Deep State broke rank and reached out to him to cut a deal; he’d win but without the popular vote. In exchange, he gets to implement stuff that doesn’t affect “their” part of the Deep State.
A part of that might be purely out of self-preservation. Hillary would have brought serious civil strife, and that can creates uncertainty for the Deep State. Also, I’m not sure how a war with Russia would affect certain them. Or, some of them did not like how American is transforming into Brazil and finally had enough.
Keep in mind that the Deep State is a concept, not a political caucus. I’m as cynical as they come, which is why I believe people – even in the Deep State – are self-interested. They know that things can’t go on forever and want to look out for themselves when SHTF.
We tend to think of our enemies as deeply united when in fact they are probably just as contentious internally as a libertarian Facebook group.
What keeps them together is mutual benefit. For whatever reason, some of them decided the current political trajectory does not benefit some of them or puts their interests at stake.
There’s a separate theory discussed in a Stefan Molyneux video about Wikileaks emails exposing certain Clinton staffers to be involved in Satanic rituals and other occultist behavior.
This entire presidential election I’ve been thinking about what motivated a 70-year-old billionaire to enter this presidential race. The claim he was a shill for Hillary never made much sense. Nor the idea that he wanted to start a TV show and build publicity for it by running for president. If he had wanted to do that, he could have dropped out halfway through the nomination.
However, I honestly don’t think he actually wants to do this. It’s either his eldest son or someone else, but somebody compelled him in one or another to get involved.
It’s all speculative, but I wouldn’t be shocked if some rebellious Deep Staters got involved at some point for their own selfish reasons.
Very likely, people whose interests are at odds with George Soros’.
Nevertheless, the Trumpkreig may prove to backfire on Republicans, Gary North writes:
I had hoped it would be the other way around Trump with the popular vote, Hillary with a narrow victory. I wanted her to come into the office with little legitimacy and half the electorate vowing to get even in 2020.
Here is my concern. I think the next recession will take place before the next Presidential election. I think it will be worldwide. It will be the product of Keynesian central bankers. It will be a manifestation of the Austrian theory of the business cycle. Central banks inflate. Then they stop. Then the recession hits.
This is going to be a deep and long recession. I wanted Hillary Clinton and the Democrats to take the hit. Now it will be Trump and the Republican Party.
I fear a political sweep in 2020 comparable to Franklin Roosevelt’s in 1932.
Lest we forget: ever since the mid-term elections of 1930, the Republican Party has occupied the White House and both branches of Congress only twice: 1953-55 and 2001: January to June. The Great Depression made the Republican Party a permanent minority party.
There will be no place for the Republicans to hide in 2020.
This is precisely what I warned in my first essay on Donald Trump’s presidential campaign.
Here’s where we get to the interesting part – why I don’t want Trump to be president. In fact, it is imperative he doesn’t become president.
Because chances are, there will be an economic collapse or recession or something like that during the next president’s term. Doesn’t matter that the causes for it were around far before they took office. They will get the blame.
It also doesn’t matter that Trump is in no way a far-right, free market advocate but a big-government nationalist two inches on the political scale away from the Bushes and Clintons.
He’s a businessman. That’s all people are going to think of when the stock market crashes.
If Trump becomes president, and there is an economic collapse, the free market will get blamed. It may get blamed anyways, but it will be much easier to pin the blame on the free market or capitalism if a businessman is president. It’s symbolic, and symbolism is very effective.
I still stand by that statement, though considering the possibility of war with Russia and the civil war, I’m obviously conflicted as to the outcome.
Americans should not and cannot wait around until 2020 to figure out what to do. They need to begin forming their own “tribes” so to speak and band together so when the trying times come, when someone totally hostile their very existence comes into power, they will be ready.
Four years is not a long time. And the clock is ticking.